2012 PB20 is a very small asteroid whose orbit crosses the orbit of Earth. NASA JPL has classified 2012 PB20 as a "Near Earth Asteroid" due to its orbit's proximity to Earth, but it is not considered potentially hazardous because computer simulations have not indicated any imminent likelihood of future collision.
2012 PB20 orbits the sun every 395 days (1.08 years), coming as close as 0.95 AU and reaching as far as 1.15 AU from the sun. Based on its brightness and the way it reflects light, 2012 PB20 is probably between 0.018 to 0.081 kilometers in diameter, making it a small to average asteroid, very roughly comparable in size to a school bus or smaller.
2012 PB20's orbit is 0.00 AU from Earth's orbit at its closest point. This means that its orbit is relatively close to Earth's orbit.
2012 PB20 has 5 close approaches predicted in the coming decades:
Date | Distance from Earth (km) | Velocity (km/s) |
---|---|---|
Feb. 9, 2025 | 1,372,625 | 4.265 |
Sept. 13, 2025 | 21,267,761 | 3.699 |
July 17, 2042 | 13,295,412 | 5.292 |
Nov. 22, 2057 | 24,870,248 | 2.886 |
July 22, 2058 | 8,512,423 | 4.004 |
NASA Sentry has assessed impact risk for 22 very close approach scenarios. Here are the top scenarios ordered by probability of impact:
Date | Probability of Impact (%) | Impact Energy (Mt) |
---|---|---|
Feb. 11, 2115 | 0.00019 | 1.0 |
Feb. 11, 2115 | 0.00009 | 1.001 |
Feb. 11, 2116 | 0.00005 | 0.9999 |
Feb. 10, 2098 | 0.00003 | 1.0 |
Feb. 11, 2120 | 0.00003 | 0.9996 |
Feb. 10, 2099 | 0.00002 | 1.001 |
Feb. 10, 2100 | 0.00002 | 1.001 |
Feb. 11, 2115 | 0.00002 | 1.001 |
Feb. 11, 2120 | 0.00001 | 0.9998 |
Feb. 10, 2099 | 0.00001 | 1.001 |
Feb. 11, 2116 | 0.00001 | 1.0 |
Feb. 11, 2120 | 0.00001 | 0.9996 |
Feb. 9, 2089 | 0.00001 | 0.9995 |
Feb. 11, 2103 | 0.00000 | 1.0 |
Feb. 11, 2116 | 0.00000 | 1.001 |
Feb. 10, 2111 | 0.00000 | 0.9989 |
Feb. 10, 2121 | 0.00000 | 0.9992 |
Feb. 11, 2108 | 0.00000 | 0.9991 |
Feb. 10, 2105 | 0.00000 | 0.9992 |
Feb. 10, 2117 | 0.00000 | 0.999 |
Feb. 9, 2089 | 0.00000 | 0.9989 |
Feb. 11, 2121 | 0.00000 | 1.001 |
2012 PB20's orbit is determined by observations dating back to Aug. 10, 2012. It was last officially observed on Oct. 10, 2012. The IAU Minor Planet Center records 49 observations used to determine its orbit.
2012 PB20 can be reached with a journey of 370 days. This trajectory would require a delta-v of 5.027 km/s. To put this into perspective, the delta-v to launch a rocket to Low-Earth Orbit is 9.7 km/s. There are 564,858 potential trajectories and launch windows to this asteroid.
See more at the NHATS Mission Trajectories table for 2012 PB20.
The position of 2012 PB20 is indicated by a ◯ pink circle. Note that the object may not be in your current field of view. Use the controls below to adjust position, location, and time.
The below comparison is an artistic rendering that uses available data on the diameter of 2012 PB20 to create an approximate landscape rendering with New York City in the background. This approximation is built for full-resolution desktop browsers. Shape, color, and texture of asteroid are imagined.